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Red18
36006.5
17462.7
41884.8
Blue13
33192.9
39764.0
28153.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11100203040501813

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3600
#12
6.50.5
4.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3976
#34
4.00.3
3.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4188
#23
4.80.5
4.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2815
#45
3.90.3
3.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1746
#28
2.70.5
2.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3319
#50
2.90.2
2.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End