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Red18
41632.9
33184.5
5907.0
Blue6
14144.7
41120.9
13195.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13100520253035186

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
590
#5
7.00.4
6.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1319
#42
5.10.2
4.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3318
#21
4.50.4
4.24.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1414
#48
4.70.3
5.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4163
#41
2.90.4
2.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4112
#60
0.90.3
1.30.9
Auto
Teleop
End