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Red16
23116.1
23419.5
37842.0
Blue18
40316.3
2819.1
5337.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302401020405060701618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#6
16.10.7
15.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
281
#93
9.10.3
10.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2341
#54
9.50.7
9.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
533
#26
7.80.3
7.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3784
#76
2.00.7
4.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
4031
#64
6.30.3
6.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End