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Red18
11086.4
12516.6
5337.8
Blue37
26914.1
243916.2
39315.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273702060801837

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#47
16.60.5
16.616.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2439
#18
16.20.0
16.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
533
#26
7.80.5
6.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
269
#24
14.10.0
16.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1108
#100
6.40.5
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3931
#98
5.30.0
4.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End