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Red16
52712.4
13824.2
23419.5
Blue3
40579.6
41469.4
27041.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242201030405060163

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#52
12.40.4
10.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4057
#58
9.60.9
7.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2341
#54
9.50.4
9.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4146
#59
9.40.9
10.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1382
#66
4.20.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
2704
#74
1.60.9
3.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End