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Red18
43531.5
191822.4
357411.8
Blue26
12127.3
23711.2
103812.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353001020405060701826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#63
22.40.8
22.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1038
#25
12.60.2
13.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3574
#51
11.80.8
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
237
#55
11.20.2
12.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4353
#99
1.50.8
3.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
1212
#50
7.30.2
4.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End