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Red22
332216.7
13225.3
3263.5
Blue30
26041.9
34155.6
233715.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22170102030402230

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.70.0
13.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
15.30.7
11.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1322
#12
5.30.0
5.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3415
#15
5.60.8
4.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
326
#37
3.50.0
3.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2604
#17
1.90.7
1.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End