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Red40
171111.4
30814.6
233719.6
Blue5
22468.9
86216.1
1417.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383201020506070405

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.1
18.618.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
862
#10
16.11.4
15.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
#12
14.60.1
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2246
#48
8.91.4
8.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1711
#39
11.40.1
6.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
141
#62
7.51.4
8.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End