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Red39
102325.5
168416.7
283417.0
Blue26
8513.8
323415.2
332219.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55563040506070803926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#21
25.50.8
24.723.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
3322
#18
19.61.5
21.019.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2834
#29
17.00.8
16.015.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3234
#22
15.21.5
16.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1684
#35
16.70.8
15.114.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
85
#64
13.81.5
18.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End