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Qual 222012 Michigan FRC State Championship
Red33
247426.4
22612.6
295915.2
Blue61
361810.8
233719.6
309821.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56451020304050607080903361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#14
26.41.2
27.8→26.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
3098
#4
21.10.8
15.8→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2959
#27
15.21.2
14.5→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.4
2337
#8
19.60.8
18.7→19.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
226
#55
12.61.2
14.0→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.9
3618
#46
10.80.8
11.3→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—