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Red25
31415.5
25919.1
309821.1
Blue47
3027.8
168416.7
22468.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423101020506070802547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.9
16.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1684
#35
16.70.8
14.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
#51
15.50.9
15.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2246
#48
8.90.8
7.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2591
#31
9.10.9
10.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
302
#49
7.80.8
10.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End