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Red59
35379.9
102325.5
21722.3
Blue63
31415.5
22612.6
57320.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5344102030406070805963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#21
25.50.3
24.424.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
573
#5
20.80.9
18.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#24
22.30.3
20.220.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
314
#51
15.50.9
13.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3537
#53
9.90.3
8.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
226
#55
12.60.9
12.012.9
Auto
Teleop
End