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Red52
191821.0
20112.6
57320.8
Blue42
83013.2
85815.9
357213.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53392060805242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#11
21.00.0
19.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
858
#47
15.90.2
14.915.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
573
#5
20.80.0
20.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
830
#42
13.20.2
12.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
201
#61
12.60.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3572
#36
13.00.2
11.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End