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Red3
43772.9
36033.0
21532.1
Blue19
21453.7
36174.5
335713.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9160203040319

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#36
3.00.6
3.22.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
3357
#19
13.80.2
6.26.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4377
#38
2.90.3
2.32.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
4.50.2
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2153
#37
2.10.6
4.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2145
#20
3.70.2
7.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End