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Red22
18960.2
1416.7
335713.8
Blue10
35095.1
36884.6
10765.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146010202530352210

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#19
13.80.7
9.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1076
#11
5.70.3
2.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
141
#15
6.70.7
4.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3509
#16
5.10.2
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1896
#31
0.20.7
0.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3688
#39
4.60.3
1.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End