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Red31
15963.9
323413.4
10765.7
Blue13
43926.8
36884.6
36033.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1450102025303113

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.41.4
9.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
4392
#12
6.80.7
0.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1076
#11
5.71.4
3.04.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3688
#39
4.60.7
1.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1596
#24
3.91.4
1.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3603
#36
3.00.7
2.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End