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Red6
35095.1
43753.4
361811.7
Blue3
36884.6
20757.2
43634.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15170510202530354063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.70.4
8.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2075
#26
7.21.2
7.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3509
#16
5.10.4
2.11.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3688
#39
4.61.1
3.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4375
#29
3.40.4
3.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4.31.1
6.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End