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Red17
40036.7
361811.7
18960.2
Blue0
20757.2
36393.4
22451.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1310051520253035170

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.70.2
8.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2075
#26
7.20.8
6.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.70.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3639
#32
3.40.7
2.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1896
#31
0.20.3
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2245
#40
1.50.7
1.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End