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Red31
43926.8
323413.4
361811.7
Blue11
35095.1
36174.5
22468.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2515010203040503111

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.40.4
10.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
8.00.2
7.57.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.70.3
10.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
3509
#16
5.10.2
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4392
#12
6.80.3
5.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4.50.3
4.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End