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Red20
35378.2
43764.2
36174.5
Blue26
10765.7
36023.2
43926.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161301020304050602026

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#21
8.20.2
7.88.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4392
#12
6.80.7
5.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4.50.3
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1076
#11
5.70.8
5.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4376
#27
4.20.2
3.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3.20.8
2.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End