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Red2
38791.3
24555.0
243915.8
Blue28
105622.0
38820.3
42701.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2116010304050228

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.81.1
13.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
22.00.8
12.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2455
#28
5.01.6
4.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4270
#11
1.60.8
3.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3879
#19
1.31.6
3.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3882
#35
0.30.8
2.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End