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Red18
42701.6
36852.8
243915.8
Blue26
28963.4
300810.5
244312.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2020101525301826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.1
13.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
12.30.3
10.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3685
#22
2.80.2
3.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
3008
#23
10.50.3
8.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4270
#11
1.60.2
3.02.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2896
#10
3.40.5
1.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End