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Red6
36852.8
41585.4
24441.3
Blue14
24594.8
43744.7
38791.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139020304050614

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4158
#17
5.40.5
6.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
4.80.3
3.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3685
#22
2.80.4
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4374
#16
4.70.3
3.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2444
#32
1.30.5
2.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3879
#19
1.30.4
1.01.4
Auto
Teleop
End