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Red76
1624.6
20224.7
14820.4
Blue44
11117.3
7117.3
21516.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48401020306070807644

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#1
24.60.5
24.124.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
71
#5
17.30.1
17.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
#2
20.40.5
19.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
111
#4
17.30.1
17.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2022
#46
4.70.5
4.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2151
#32
6.20.1
6.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End