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Red18
17390.8
30619.6
21363.3
Blue2
4037-1.0
42412.2
34882.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149020304050182

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#10
9.60.2
5.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4241
#44
2.20.6
3.63.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2136
#40
3.30.4
4.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3488
#43
2.00.6
3.22.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
#23
0.80.4
3.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4037
#47
-1.00.6
2.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End