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Red26
294912.5
39366.5
27096.8
Blue18
43024.8
40965.2
23389.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110203040502618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.50.7
9.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2338
#26
9.30.5
7.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2709
#17
6.81.0
1.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
4096
#19
5.20.5
2.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3936
#15
6.51.0
3.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
4302
#39
4.80.5
1.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End