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Red10
18501.7
31357.8
4037-1.0
Blue3
43240.4
20224.7
43142.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98020304050103

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3135
#18
7.80.1
3.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2022
#46
4.70.4
2.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1850
#38
1.70.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
4314
#36
2.30.4
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4037
#47
-1.00.1
1.71.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4324
#35
0.40.4
2.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End