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Red3
294912.5
39420.6
42412.2
Blue0
31771.2
18501.7
43240.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14705102025303530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.50.5
10.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1850
#38
1.70.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4241
#44
2.20.9
2.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3177
#21
1.20.6
1.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3942
#22
0.60.9
0.7-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4324
#35
0.40.6
1.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End