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Red8
30619.6
42924.4
41291.1
Blue3
43024.8
20224.7
39366.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111002030405060708083

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#10
9.60.2
5.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3936
#15
6.56.5
8.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4292
#25
4.41.9
4.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4302
#39
4.82.8
4.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4129
#41
1.11.4
1.12.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2022
#46
4.70.6
4.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End