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Red30
39288.3
40965.2
17108.0
Blue9
21363.3
42412.2
27096.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151301020304050309

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.31.1
5.26.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2709
#17
6.80.3
6.56.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1710
#24
8.01.1
4.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2136
#40
3.30.3
4.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4096
#19
5.21.1
5.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
4241
#44
2.20.3
1.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End