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Red18
40810.8
43024.8
17818.3
Blue40
31357.8
31771.2
7117.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102103040501840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#33
8.30.5
5.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
71
#5
17.31.3
14.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4302
#39
4.80.5
4.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3135
#18
7.81.3
6.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4081
#20
0.80.5
0.20.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3177
#21
1.21.3
-0.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End