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Red18
40965.2
36953.8
27817.2
Blue23
30619.6
39420.6
37342.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16902030401823

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.20.2
5.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3061
#10
9.60.7
8.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4096
#19
5.20.2
5.75.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3734
#45
2.21.0
1.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3695
#13
3.80.2
3.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
3942
#22
0.60.9
-0.20.6
Auto
Teleop
End