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Red30
42726.8
23413.8
82918.0
Blue15
41033.4
10184.9
86811.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2415010203040503015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#1
18.00.4
10.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
868
#13
11.00.0
6.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#26
13.80.3
13.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1018
#32
4.90.0
5.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.80.4
0.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4103
#22
3.40.0
3.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End