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Red0
16465.9
20819.5
38653.9
Blue18
31764.1
42726.8
39409.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1870510152025303540018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#15
9.51.6
9.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3940
#21
9.01.0
3.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#33
5.91.6
3.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
6.81.0
1.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3865
#10
3.91.6
6.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3176
#29
4.11.0
1.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End