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Red12
348712.9
17203.1
35654.5
Blue1
41033.4
150112.8
40084.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1418051020253035121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.2
6.96.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
12.80.8
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3565
#11
4.50.2
4.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4008
#20
4.71.4
2.51.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1720
#35
3.10.2
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
4103
#22
3.41.4
3.62.2
Auto
Teleop
End