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Red28
21712.8
23413.8
86811.0
Blue23
31764.1
348712.9
29210.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27201030402823

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#26
13.80.0
13.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
12.90.3
6.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
#13
11.00.0
7.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
292
#18
10.90.2
10.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2171
#24
2.80.0
6.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3176
#29
4.10.3
2.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End