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Red23
86811.0
42726.8
40581.4
Blue12
21712.8
17203.1
39409.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1413051020253035402312

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#13
11.00.8
7.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3940
#21
9.00.2
4.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.80.8
3.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1720
#35
3.10.2
3.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4058
#31
1.40.8
3.03.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2171
#24
2.80.2
6.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End