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Red18
15293.9
348712.9
10184.9
Blue4
23413.8
174711.1
17203.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132401020304050184

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.90.3
4.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
234
#26
13.81.5
15.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
#32
4.90.3
6.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
1747
#14
11.11.7
4.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#36
3.90.3
3.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1720
#35
3.11.7
4.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End