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Red38
15293.9
42116.2
394710.4
Blue13
17413.6
20819.5
41033.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1517510202530353813

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.41.3
7.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2081
#15
9.50.2
9.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.21.3
5.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1741
#37
3.60.3
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#36
3.91.3
2.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4103
#22
3.40.2
3.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End