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Red25
4618.5
348712.9
23413.8
Blue26
39409.0
21971.7
394710.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372101030405060702526

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#26
13.80.2
14.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
10.40.1
10.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.90.2
13.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3940
#21
9.00.1
8.78.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
461
#27
8.50.2
9.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2197
#16
1.70.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End