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Red100
11833.8
294917.7
62433.8
Blue36
97322.2
54831.1
259024.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868005010015010036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
33.80.2
34.334.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
548
#29
31.10.7
31.831.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
#9
33.80.2
34.334.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
24.40.7
25.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2949
#57
17.70.2
17.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
973
#20
22.20.7
22.922.2
Auto
Teleop
End