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Red15
331015.6
335719.3
12520.5
Blue68
153817.7
248125.2
57318.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476302040801001568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#26
20.51.6
15.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
2481
#25
25.20.2
27.327.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3357
#35
19.31.6
17.716.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
573
#56
18.50.2
18.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3310
#61
15.61.6
14.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1538
#30
17.70.2
18.018.2
Auto
Teleop
End