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Red50
194210.9
26309.8
157416.2
Blue0
37743.0
30873.6
26722.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17701020304050500

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.22.6
8.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
3087
#30
3.60.6
2.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1942
#11
10.92.6
4.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
3774
#41
3.00.6
2.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9.82.6
5.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2672
#32
2.70.6
2.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End