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Red6
43192.7
44061.0
173113.7
Blue18
194210.9
3766-1.0
19466.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10150203040618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.70.4
6.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1942
#11
10.90.2
6.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4319
#39
2.70.4
2.31.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
6.40.2
4.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4406
#42
1.00.4
2.42.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3766
#45
-1.00.2
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End