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Red36
166216.6
30654.6
43265.9
Blue46
157416.2
19524.8
16579.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161901030403646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.61.8
8.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
16.22.2
11.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4326
#27
5.91.8
2.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
9.82.2
5.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3065
#46
4.61.8
3.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1952
#15
4.82.2
1.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End