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Red3
43206.6
44061.0
19524.8
Blue18
157416.2
19379.7
30750.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9220304050318

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4320
#14
6.60.5
3.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
16.20.5
14.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1952
#15
4.80.5
3.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1937
#29
9.70.5
5.24.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4406
#42
1.00.5
1.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3075
#44
0.60.5
4.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End