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Red11
43265.9
37754.5
22319.6
Blue16
194210.9
15778.8
19430.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1812030401116

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#21
9.60.6
7.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1942
#11
10.90.3
6.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4326
#27
5.90.6
4.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
8.80.3
3.13.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3775
#40
4.50.6
5.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1943
#43
0.20.3
2.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End