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Red21
33518.8
15783.5
157416.2
Blue18
16579.8
30835.9
43192.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23190103040502118

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.2
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
9.80.1
10.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.80.2
5.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
3083
#38
5.90.1
6.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1578
#34
3.50.2
4.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
4319
#39
2.70.1
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End