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Red13
173113.7
19430.2
157416.2
Blue2
43383.2
15778.8
16579.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24180103040132

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.9
13.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
9.81.2
10.29.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
13.71.0
9.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
8.81.3
4.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1943
#43
0.21.0
2.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4338
#36
3.21.3
2.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End