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Red34
22122.3
19545.2
26309.8
Blue30
43192.7
331610.8
157416.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14220102030403430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.81.5
8.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
16.20.5
12.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1954
#18
5.21.5
5.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
3316
#10
10.80.5
7.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2212
#37
2.31.4
1.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4319
#39
2.70.6
2.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End